Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Aron Roberts's avatar

Thanks, Klaus. Truly appreciate your thoughts around this.

Two possible reasons we've been "squandering our potential on nonsense"?

1. Maybe part of the problem is our tendency to follow the herd?

In turn, maybe that's because, as Keynes wrote, "it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally"? Or also that, due to our needs for social interaction, we often want to go where others are, whether physically or virtually? Perhaps also due to challenges with imagination: more people get excited by seeing what others are doing, while fewer are either capable of or comfortable with "dreaming things that never were and asking why not" (to paraphrase George Bernard Shaw's quote).

Soon after rapid meal delivery companies became a Thing, we had not only DoorDash and Grubhub but a slew of others in that space. Same for "urban mobility" options like rental bikes and scooters, with Bird, Lime, Jump and their like proliferating like mad for a time.

Historically, too: a Wikipedia article claims that "starting with Duryea in 1895, at least 1900 different [automobile] companies were formed," before WWI and the Great Depression led to many business failures and consolidations.

It's been similar for financial trends and/or fads. Like SPACs, which multiplied like bunnies during a short span. And cryptocurrencies, which saw another 18,000+ "coins" released after Litecoin followed in Bitcoin's footsteps in 2011.

In contrast to the vast number of entrants in these other spaces, here are two examples of real-life problems that have seen far too little attention for decades.

There has long been a vast and unmet need for fish passage systems, allowing fish to migrate around dams in rivers and streams. (Many dams don't have them at all; others offer traditional fish ladders – basically a set of concrete steps over which some of the dam's water must continually flow – which can tire and confuse fish.) Despite this, very few companies have attempted to address that problem; Whooshh Innovations in Seattle is one of the few that has. (Disclaimer: I'm one of their small investors in a recent crowdfunding round.)

As well, with drought leading to desertification and wildfires, land disturbances, and other human activities degrading or eroding land, we've needed ways of restoring those lands en masse: to grow grasses that bind the soil and retain moisture, and to create conditions in which brush, trees, and a vast ecosystem of animals can thrive. Starting around 1980, Bob Dixon down in Arizona came up with a "land imprinter" – a tractor-hauled roller with angular patterns that create small, funnel-shaped holes, where seeds and seedlings can be fed by rainwater and runoff, and in which natural mulch can gather, to protect and nurture them. Yet despite this need, and many successful examples of restoration using these devices, they haven't yet caught on. Recently, I came across just a couple of companies, including Western Ecology LLC in New Mexico, that still make and sell similar devices.

The contrasts between the energy and funding that's gone into all those aforementioned 'fad' sectors in recent years, versus the modest amount of focus and support for addressing even just these two real-world problems – is stark. And endlessly frustrating.

Many more tangible problems like these two undoubtedly exist, and are equally languishing for lack of resources: imagination, skilled and energetic people, and funding. While Jucero, Quibi, and their like proliferate, along with all of the "what problem is this actually solving?" software companies that you've referred to in your post, Klaus.

2. And certainly, another part of the problem are those "excessive and expensive regulatory hurdles" you noted.

These seriously hamper our ability to build tangible things – like housing, power plants to generate electricity (including using renewable sources), oil refineries, mines to extract needed minerals, and public transit corridors for subways and trains – as contrasted with, say, software.

Here's just one example of onerous permitting restrictions leading to delays of up to 7 to 10 years when building new geothermal energy projects:

https://twitter.com/TimMLatimer/status/1517244510698455041

There's now a broad "pro-building" movement coalescing around the need for removing or reducing those hurdles, so we can build more of the tangible products and services our society requires. (Sometimes people in that movement also use terms like "supply" or "abundance," alongside "building.")

This movement also spans the political and ideological spectrum, with some left-leaning and left-center folks increasingly joining in, alongside the set of mostly traditional conservatives and libertarians who've long chafed at regulatory delays and obstacles. A couple of pertinent tweets/threads, among many:

https://twitter.com/mishachellam/status/1528771901664792577

https://twitter.com/aronro/status/1526082262797672448

Expand full comment
Erin E.'s avatar

You've beautifully articulated a thing I've only until now felt as a sort of distorting background noise: what the hell are we doing here? I'm cool with capitalism but one of its shortcomings is often the accrual of wealth is treated with more urgency than using our intellectual capital for more useful or interesting projects.

Expand full comment
17 more comments...

No posts